Monday, February 4, 2008

Can Barack win?

Not tomorrow, no. Nor can Hillary. Both will pick up a lot of delegates, but neither will get anywhere close to the 2000 needed to win the nomination. I think Barack has to hope for strong showings in California, New York City (not state, the city), and wins in several other states (Missourri, Colorado, Illinois, Georgia, Alabama) and an “upset” in one of the previously “safe” states for Hillary (Connecticut? New Jersey? Dare I throw California into that list?) If the narrative coming out of tomorrow is that Barack’s got more or less the same delegates as Hillary, and pulled off a surprise or two, then I think he’s well-positioned moving forward.



He’s closed 20-point gaps in a matter of 4-6 weeks. He outraised Hillary in January $32.5m to $13.5m. With a surplus of cash and a strong showing tomorrow, he could very well be in the driver’s seat.



Oh, and these guys might be relevant, too. Stop by and add in some info, won’t you?

3 comments:

  1. Psyched about Obama's showing yesterday. It's looking like the longer this thing goes the better it will be for Obama given his $$$ lead over Clinton. Should be interesting to see if he accepts all of the debate requests from her. Am guessing her goal in these is to get the free press.

    I volunteered at the Chicago HQ making calls on Monday night and was astounded at the mix of people there. All ages and colors were represented equally- VERY good to see.

    -Chris Ruder

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  2. Hey I love the website. Www.superdelegates.org I've been adding what I can. Obama looked good on super Tuesday. We definitely support him over at writiki.com

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  3. He has a better chance of winning the White House than his supporters have of naming one accomplishment for which he can be credited.

    :)

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