The AP is reporting that the SEIU will be endorsing Dean but is holding off.
Why the delay? I can think of only one explanation: that the AFSCME wants to be in on the game, and they don’t like the possibility that the SEIU would be seen as steering the election Dean’s way without having some sway. So next Wednesday we’ll see a mutual announcement, in which both the SEIU and the AFSCME announce their support of Dean.
The practical effect? SEIU thinks it can raise $20m for its candidate, and visit 10 million homes in the election. AFSCME can likely deliver a fair chunk of that. Conservatively, this means that the recipient of their endorsements can count on $30m by election time, and countless hours of “feet on the street” mobilizing against Bush.
One thing is certain: if Dean gets both unions next week, Gephardt loses 5 points in Iowa just on the press that results. At some point the press will start attaching words like “desperation” to the other campaigns; if they can’t unite against Dean and have any impact, then what can any of them do on their own?